Tough times in Palm Beach as this article attests...
Some big bust-related news out this morning. Existing home sales are have a rough run. Here's an excerpt from the AP:
Piling on more proof that the housing boom is over, the Commerce Department reported Thursday that new home sales fell by 4.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual sales pace of 1.072 million units. The decline was the largest since an 11.5 percent plunge in February.
As far as consumer sentiment goes, though, look no further than a poll this morning on Yahoo Finance. Looks like roughly 75% of respondents think that housing is headed down further. Stay tuned...
My apologies for the lack of updates lately. It seems that just recently, real "bust-worthy" news has begun to trickle in. From this morning's Associated Press story:
The slowdown in the once-sizzling housing market is spreading, with 28 states and the District of Columbia reporting spring sales declines, led by big drops in former boom areas of Arizona, Florida and California.
The latest data appeared to confirm a cooling trend in the housing market, following a boom and sky-rocketing prices of recent years that have priced many hopeful new home owners out of the market. In recent months, a steady rise in interest rates hikes has prompted a downturn in home buying.
The full article can be found here
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For all of you from Tucson, looks like you've made the list this year!
Manhattan (REB's home city, by the way) has been throwing many buyers, sellers and brokers for a loop. Are prices going up or down? Is the market really softening? Can I bid under the asking price or is that still taboo?
This week, several reports were released with conflicting data about the state of the New York City market. I'll break down some of the highlights:
Rising interest rates are causing would-be homebuyers to take a second look at many are opting for rentals. This is causing rents to rise:
Continue reading "Are Manhattan Prices Going Up or Down? Mixed Messages Released This Week" »
Remember last month when Real Estate Bust mentioned the Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures market for housing prices? Although trading activity is relatively light at the moment, The Matrix, another real estate related blog, discusses early observations. Here is a chart of contract activity over the next year:

Some important things to note here are that 1) traders are betting that Miami has the largest decline over the next year (7.67%) and that 2) The Top 10 City average is roughly a 5% drop. If you're looking for evidence of a complete bust, perhaps this "soft landing" evidence isn't welcome news.